Power rankings: Arnold Palmer Invitational

The PGA Tour’s Florida Swing started with Jack Nicklaus’ Bear Trap at PGA National and it concludes this week in Orlando at Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill with the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

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A strong field is assembled to take on the King’s Florida digs, including world No. 1 Rory McIlroy, Bubba Watson, Adam Scott and Henrik Stenson. In such a top-heavy field, you’d expect us to rank the top players highly, but our top five players may not come in the order you’d expect.

1. Henrik Stenson — The Swede didn’t get the job done at Tampa, but it was a great debut at the Valspar Championship. Stenson has never missed an API cut and has been in the top eight here each of the last two years.

2. Adam Scott — The Aussie let this one slip away from him last year to Matt Every. Scott was the 54-hole leader, finishing alone in third. His cuts-made streak ended last week at 45 events, concluding the Tour’s longest active streak.

3. Jason Day — Day is playing the golf of his life, but finished a modest T-31 in Miami. He wasn’t a part of the 2014 event, but was T-45 in 2013. If you pick him, don’t do it based on his Bay Hill record.

4. Bubba Watson — Bubba should be able to overpower Bay Hill and dominate it in windy conditions. However, his record at Arnie’s place is inconsistent. He has three top-15 finishes in nine career starts, but pulled out after an 83 to open last year. Then he won the Masters. He gave it a good run at Doral, but came up a bit short and looked flustered as he faltered.

5. J.B. Holmes — Gotta like Holmes here as a guy almost a mortal lock to make the cut. He’s eight for eight here and posted his best-ever API finish, a T-10 effort, last year. He almost won at Doral.

Ryan Ballengee is a Yahoo Sports contributor. Find him on Facebook and Twitter.

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